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Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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Same event, all outcomes

Harry KaneUpdated 13 minutes ago52.8% Lamine YamalUpdated 13 minutes ago39.6% Lionel MessiUpdated 13 minutes ago3.3% Kylian MbappéUpdated 13 minutes ago2.8% RodriUpdated 13 minutes ago1.1% Michael OliseUpdated 13 minutes ago0.6% Khvicha KvaratskheliaUpdated 13 minutes ago0.5% Ousmane DembéléUpdated 13 minutes ago0.4% Erling HaalandUpdated 13 minutes ago0.2% Fabian RuizUpdated 13 minutes ago0.2% Pau CubarsiUpdated 13 minutes ago0.1% RodrygoUpdated 1 month ago0.1% Dominik SzoboszlaiUpdated 1 month ago0.1% Luis DiazUpdated 13 minutes ago0.1% Achraf HakimiUpdated 13 minutes ago0.1% Desire DoueUpdated 1 month ago0.1% Federico ValverdeUpdated 1 month ago0.1% Enzo FernandezUpdated 1 month ago0.1% Bukayo SakaUpdated 1 month ago0.1% Cristiano RonaldoUpdated 1 month ago0.1% Lautaro MartinezUpdated 13 minutes ago0.1% Bruno FernandesUpdated 13 minutes ago0.1% RaphinhaUpdated 1 month ago0.1% Julian AlvarezUpdated 1 month ago0.1% VitinhaUpdated 13 minutes ago0.1% Declan RiceUpdated 13 minutes ago0.1% Cole PalmerUpdated 1 month ago0.1% PedriUpdated 1 month ago0.1% Vinícius JúniorUpdated 13 minutes ago0.1% Mohamed SalahUpdated 1 month ago0.1% Jude BellinghamUpdated 13 minutes ago0.1%

Price history

Recorded probability

No price history recorded for this period yet.

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

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