Skip to content
Ball Quiz
Quick round

Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Open market

Same event, all outcomes

Harry KaneUpdated 17 minutes ago52.6% Lamine YamalUpdated 17 minutes ago39.5% Lionel MessiUpdated 17 minutes ago3.4% Kylian MbappéUpdated 17 minutes ago2.8% RodriUpdated 17 minutes ago1.1% Khvicha KvaratskheliaUpdated 17 minutes ago0.5% Michael OliseUpdated 17 minutes ago0.5% Ousmane DembéléUpdated 17 minutes ago0.4% Erling HaalandUpdated 17 minutes ago0.2% Fabian RuizUpdated 17 minutes ago0.2% Pau CubarsiUpdated 17 minutes ago0.1% RodrygoUpdated 1 month ago0.1% Dominik SzoboszlaiUpdated 1 month ago0.1% Luis DiazUpdated 17 minutes ago0.1% Achraf HakimiUpdated 17 minutes ago0.1% Desire DoueUpdated 1 month ago0.1% Federico ValverdeUpdated 1 month ago0.1% Enzo FernandezUpdated 1 month ago0.1% Bukayo SakaUpdated 1 month ago0.1% Cristiano RonaldoUpdated 1 month ago0.1% Lautaro MartinezUpdated 17 minutes ago0.1% Bruno FernandesUpdated 17 minutes ago0.1% RaphinhaUpdated 1 month ago0.1% Julian AlvarezUpdated 1 month ago0.1% VitinhaUpdated 17 minutes ago0.1% Declan RiceUpdated 17 minutes ago0.1% Cole PalmerUpdated 1 month ago0.1% PedriUpdated 1 month ago0.1% Vinícius JúniorUpdated 17 minutes ago0.1% Mohamed SalahUpdated 1 month ago0.1% Jude BellinghamUpdated 17 minutes ago0.1%

Price history

Recorded probability
Recorded market probability from Oct 8, 22:00 to Oct 9, 06:00 0%25%50%75%100% Oct 8, 22:00Oct 9, 06:00

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 7 snapshots
Recorded atProbability
Oct 9, 06:00 UTC0.1%
Oct 9, 04:00 UTC0.1%
Oct 9, 03:00 UTC0.1%
Oct 9, 02:00 UTC0.1%
Oct 9, 00:00 UTC0.1%
Oct 8, 23:00 UTC0.1%
Oct 8, 22:00 UTC0.1%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

More football markets

All markets