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Will Rodri finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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Same event, all outcomes

Lamine YamalUpdated 11 hours ago99.5% Harry KaneUpdated 11 hours ago99.5% Kylian MbappéUpdated 11 hours ago99.2% RodriUpdated 11 hours ago97.1% Lionel MessiUpdated 11 hours ago96.8% Khvicha KvaratskheliaUpdated 11 hours ago90.0% Michael OliseUpdated 11 hours ago87.5% Ousmane DembéléUpdated 11 hours ago83.0% Erling HaalandUpdated 11 hours ago68.5% Jude BellinghamUpdated 11 hours ago55.0% Fabian RuizUpdated 11 hours ago41.5% Pau CubarsiUpdated 11 hours ago33.5% Declan RiceUpdated 11 hours ago27.5% Achraf HakimiUpdated 11 hours ago11.0% Bruno FernandesUpdated 11 hours ago8.3% VitinhaUpdated 11 hours ago7.5% Nuno MendesUpdated 11 hours ago7.0% Marc CucurellaUpdated 11 hours ago5.1% Luis DiazUpdated 11 hours ago4.5% William SalibaUpdated 11 hours ago4.5% João NevesUpdated 11 hours ago4.1% Gabriel MagalhãesUpdated 11 hours ago2.8% Willian PachoUpdated 11 hours ago2.8% Julián QuiñonesUpdated 11 hours ago2.6% Sadio ManéUpdated 11 hours ago2.5% Dayot UpamecanoUpdated 11 hours ago2.5% Vinícius JúniorUpdated 11 hours ago2.5% Ferran TorresUpdated 11 hours ago2.4% MarquinhosUpdated 11 hours ago2.1% Lautaro MartinezUpdated 11 hours ago2.0%

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Recorded probability

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Recorded atProbability
Oct 8, 22:00 UTC97.1%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 10 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 10 players tie for the top 10 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 10 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final ten places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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