Skip to content
Ball Quiz
Quick round

Will Willian Pacho finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Open market

Same event, all outcomes

Lamine YamalUpdated 10 hours ago99.5% Harry KaneUpdated 10 hours ago99.5% Kylian MbappéUpdated 10 hours ago99.2% RodriUpdated 10 hours ago97.1% Lionel MessiUpdated 10 hours ago96.8% Khvicha KvaratskheliaUpdated 10 hours ago90.0% Michael OliseUpdated 10 hours ago87.5% Ousmane DembéléUpdated 10 hours ago83.0% Erling HaalandUpdated 10 hours ago68.5% Jude BellinghamUpdated 10 hours ago55.0% Fabian RuizUpdated 10 hours ago41.5% Pau CubarsiUpdated 10 hours ago33.5% Declan RiceUpdated 10 hours ago27.5% Achraf HakimiUpdated 10 hours ago11.0% Bruno FernandesUpdated 10 hours ago8.3% VitinhaUpdated 10 hours ago7.5% Nuno MendesUpdated 10 hours ago7.0% Marc CucurellaUpdated 10 hours ago5.1% Luis DiazUpdated 10 hours ago4.5% William SalibaUpdated 10 hours ago4.5% João NevesUpdated 10 hours ago4.1% Gabriel MagalhãesUpdated 10 hours ago2.8% Willian PachoUpdated 10 hours ago2.8% Julián QuiñonesUpdated 10 hours ago2.6% Sadio ManéUpdated 10 hours ago2.5% Dayot UpamecanoUpdated 10 hours ago2.5% Vinícius JúniorUpdated 10 hours ago2.5% Ferran TorresUpdated 10 hours ago2.4% MarquinhosUpdated 10 hours ago2.1% Lautaro MartinezUpdated 10 hours ago2.0%

Price history

Recorded probability

One snapshot recorded. A trend needs at least two observations.

View recorded values 1 snapshots
Recorded atProbability
Oct 8, 22:00 UTC2.8%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 10 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 10 players tie for the top 10 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 10 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final ten places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

More football markets

All markets