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Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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Same event, all outcomes

Lamine YamalUpdated 45 minutes ago96.6% Harry KaneUpdated 45 minutes ago96.3% Kylian MbappéUpdated 45 minutes ago72.0% Lionel MessiUpdated 45 minutes ago33.5% RodriUpdated 45 minutes ago14.5% Khvicha KvaratskheliaUpdated 45 minutes ago6.7% Fabian RuizUpdated 45 minutes ago6.6% Michael OliseUpdated 45 minutes ago6.6% Ousmane DembéléUpdated 45 minutes ago5.5% Erling HaalandUpdated 45 minutes ago2.7% Pau CubarsiUpdated 45 minutes ago1.8% Jude BellinghamUpdated 45 minutes ago1.8% Achraf HakimiUpdated 45 minutes ago1.2% VitinhaUpdated 45 minutes ago1.0% Luis DiazUpdated 45 minutes ago0.9% Declan RiceUpdated 45 minutes ago0.9% Lautaro MartinezUpdated 45 minutes ago0.7% Vinícius JúniorUpdated 45 minutes ago0.6% Bruno FernandesUpdated 45 minutes ago0.6% Cristiano RonaldoUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Dominik SzoboszlaiUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% RodrygoUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Enzo FernandezUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Bukayo SakaUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% RaphinhaUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Desire DoueUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Julian AlvarezUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Federico ValverdeUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Cole PalmerUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% PedriUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Mohamed SalahUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1%

Price history

Recorded probability
Recorded market probability from Oct 8, 22:00 to Oct 9, 06:00 0%25%50%75%100% Oct 8, 22:00Oct 9, 06:00

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 6 snapshots
Recorded atProbability
Oct 9, 06:00 UTC1.2%
Oct 9, 04:00 UTC1.2%
Oct 9, 02:00 UTC1.2%
Oct 9, 00:00 UTC1.2%
Oct 8, 23:00 UTC1.2%
Oct 8, 22:00 UTC1.2%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Achraf Hakimi officially finishes in the top 3 (positions 1 through 3) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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