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Will Julian Alvarez finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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Same event, all outcomes

Lamine YamalUpdated 9 seconds ago96.6% Harry KaneUpdated 9 seconds ago96.3% Kylian MbappéUpdated 9 seconds ago72.0% Lionel MessiUpdated 9 seconds ago33.5% RodriUpdated 9 seconds ago14.5% Khvicha KvaratskheliaUpdated 9 seconds ago6.7% Fabian RuizUpdated 9 seconds ago6.6% Michael OliseUpdated 9 seconds ago6.6% Ousmane DembéléUpdated 9 seconds ago5.5% Erling HaalandUpdated 9 seconds ago2.7% Pau CubarsiUpdated 9 seconds ago1.8% Jude BellinghamUpdated 9 seconds ago1.8% Achraf HakimiUpdated 9 seconds ago1.2% VitinhaUpdated 9 seconds ago1.0% Luis DiazUpdated 9 seconds ago0.9% Declan RiceUpdated 9 seconds ago0.9% Lautaro MartinezUpdated 9 seconds ago0.7% Vinícius JúniorUpdated 9 seconds ago0.6% Bruno FernandesUpdated 9 seconds ago0.6% Cristiano RonaldoUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Dominik SzoboszlaiUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% RodrygoUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Enzo FernandezUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Bukayo SakaUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% RaphinhaUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Desire DoueUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Julian AlvarezUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Federico ValverdeUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Cole PalmerUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% PedriUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Mohamed SalahUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1%

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Recorded probability

No price history recorded for this period yet.

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Julian Alvarez officially finishes in the top 3 (positions 1 through 3) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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