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Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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Same event, all outcomes

Lamine YamalUpdated 15 minutes ago96.6% Harry KaneUpdated 15 minutes ago96.3% Kylian MbappéUpdated 15 minutes ago67.5% Lionel MessiUpdated 15 minutes ago33.5% RodriUpdated 15 minutes ago14.0% Khvicha KvaratskheliaUpdated 15 minutes ago7.0% Fabian RuizUpdated 15 minutes ago6.5% Michael OliseUpdated 15 minutes ago6.5% Ousmane DembéléUpdated 15 minutes ago5.5% Erling HaalandUpdated 15 minutes ago2.7% Jude BellinghamUpdated 15 minutes ago1.8% Pau CubarsiUpdated 15 minutes ago1.6% VitinhaUpdated 15 minutes ago1.1% Luis DiazUpdated 15 minutes ago0.9% Declan RiceUpdated 15 minutes ago0.9% Vinícius JúniorUpdated 15 minutes ago0.8% Lautaro MartinezUpdated 15 minutes ago0.6% Bruno FernandesUpdated 15 minutes ago0.5% Achraf HakimiUpdated 15 minutes ago0.3% RodrygoUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Enzo FernandezUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Cristiano RonaldoUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Dominik SzoboszlaiUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Bukayo SakaUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% RaphinhaUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Desire DoueUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Julian AlvarezUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Federico ValverdeUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Cole PalmerUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% PedriUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Mohamed SalahUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1%

Price history

Recorded probability
Recorded market probability from Oct 8, 22:00 to Oct 9, 09:00 0%25%50%75%100% Oct 8, 22:00Oct 9, 09:00

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 8 snapshots
Recorded atProbability
Oct 9, 09:00 UTC6.5%
Oct 9, 08:00 UTC6.5%
Oct 9, 06:00 UTC6.6%
Oct 9, 04:00 UTC6.4%
Oct 9, 02:00 UTC6.4%
Oct 9, 00:00 UTC5.1%
Oct 8, 23:00 UTC5.1%
Oct 8, 22:00 UTC6.0%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Olise officially finishes in the top 3 (positions 1 through 3) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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