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Will Raphinha finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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Same event, all outcomes

Lamine YamalUpdated 14 minutes ago96.6% Harry KaneUpdated 14 minutes ago96.3% Kylian MbappéUpdated 14 minutes ago67.5% Lionel MessiUpdated 14 minutes ago33.5% RodriUpdated 14 minutes ago14.0% Khvicha KvaratskheliaUpdated 14 minutes ago7.0% Fabian RuizUpdated 14 minutes ago6.5% Michael OliseUpdated 14 minutes ago6.5% Ousmane DembéléUpdated 14 minutes ago5.5% Erling HaalandUpdated 14 minutes ago2.7% Jude BellinghamUpdated 14 minutes ago1.8% Pau CubarsiUpdated 14 minutes ago1.6% VitinhaUpdated 14 minutes ago1.1% Luis DiazUpdated 14 minutes ago0.9% Declan RiceUpdated 14 minutes ago0.9% Vinícius JúniorUpdated 14 minutes ago0.8% Lautaro MartinezUpdated 14 minutes ago0.6% Bruno FernandesUpdated 14 minutes ago0.5% Achraf HakimiUpdated 14 minutes ago0.3% RodrygoUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Enzo FernandezUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Cristiano RonaldoUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Dominik SzoboszlaiUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Bukayo SakaUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% RaphinhaUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Desire DoueUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Julian AlvarezUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Federico ValverdeUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Cole PalmerUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% PedriUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Mohamed SalahUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1%

Price history

Recorded probability

No price history recorded for this period yet.

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Raphinha officially finishes in the top 3 (positions 1 through 3) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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